Monday, April 22, 2013

APRIL 12, 2013: THE DAY GOLD WAS KILLED?



I completed writing my April issue of GOLDVIEW in the early afternoon of Friday, April 12 –gold was $1545- and went out for my usual social gathering with my friends to celebrate the forthcoming weekend. I was planning to send in the issue for posting on the net upon my return. When I came home, I checked the markets and the gold price and I got a shock like I was stricken by lightning. I thought there was something with my eyes, seeing a gold price of $1503 but after focusing, I realized it was true. Something terrible or unexpected must have happened in the world. Another European country heading for bankruptcy? Or the opposite, the EU announcing that all financially stressed countries would be saved? The United States reporting spectacularly positive economic news? The Fed announcing that they would make prompt and full delivery of other countries’ gold? China announcing that it would no longer accumulate gold? But no, there was nothing in the world news that could be the reason for gold to go to $1503 and to subsequently close at $1477.00, a dramatic decline bound to be remembered in the history of gold. Also an event that kind of ridiculed everything I wrote in my editorial today and that was asking me to respond to.                            
I am not only shocked and amazed. Yes, it confirmed what I wrote in my editorial of this issue, that funny things are happening and are hard or even impossible to believe and certainly difficult to understand. What on earth must have happened to justify a decline of the gold price like this? And immediately the next question comes up. What kind of transactions has resulted in such a heavy blow? And who initiated this massive attack –I can’t find another name for it- and where did the money come from? Yes, money and not gold. But as appeared quickly, the downfall of gold was not caused by the sale of enormous amounts of physical gold. But instead, it was an enormous volume of paper gold contracts that were sold, catching the market by surprise.
The Financial Times said it was instigated by the Goldman Sachs turn to negative and their recommendation to clients to go to “short” gold, a bearish bet. The bank published their year-end targets of $1450 in 2013 and $1270  in 2014, stating “We see risks to current prices as skewed to the downside as we move through 2013” and adding that “the fall in prices could end up being faster and larger than our forecast”. As reason for their forecast, the bank cited expected US growth later this year.
As was rumoured, Merrill Lynch stunned the markets right at the opening by selling massive gold futures contracts, estimated to have been over 500 tons of paper gold, according to London monetary metals trader Andrew Maguire who also said that huge volumes of physical gold were moving to China amid the pounding of the gold price in the futures market. He added “It is pure short selling”. Another contribution to the ordeal came from ECB’s Mario Draghi who said that while Cyprus doesn’t have to sell its gold, any money that would come out of a sale must go towards covering the losses from the emergency loans to the country’s banks. One explanation came from the former Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury, Dr. Paul Craig Roberts: Dr. Roberts:  “This smash in gold is an orchestration by the Fed. It's been going on now from the beginning of April.  Brokerage houses told their individual clients the word was out that hedge funds and institutional investors were going to be dumping gold and that they should get out in advance.” GoldStockBull’s Jason Hamlin commented: “I have no problem with corrections in general, as they are a healthy part of any bull market. But something is not quite right about the recent price action in precious metals as the markets have become increasingly divorced from reality over the past few months.                                     
I am sure that as from Monday, many comments about the April 12 collapse will come forward from all sides. Of course, I will try to keep up with all of them and if I have the time and opportunity while I am at the European Gold Forum in Zurich, I will post some of the most worthwhile on the European Gold Centre page at Facebook and relay that via the social media.
As I said, I am not only shocked and amazed. I am also angry. If any ‘normal’ scam defrauds people for small amounts, it is marked as a crime. So why is a will-fully organized and orchestrated multi-billion market action aiming to make a speculative profit at the expense of billion dollars losses to others not marked as an act of criminal conduct? I think the world deserves a very good explanation to get the proper insight in what really happened. In this era of transparency, the masterminds behind this insane and extraordinary market action should be found, revealed and judged. I am pretty sure that those who are responsible for this historic market action would make Bernie Madoff pale…..
GATA, THERE IS WORK TO DO!!!
My answer to the question that I put on top of this last minute addition to this GOLDVIEW issue, I say:

GOLD WAS NOT KILLED, IT WAS ONLY HURT,
GOLD IS BOUND TO SURVIVE,
GOLD WILL HAVE A GREAT FUTURE,
IT ONLY WILL TAKE SOME MORE PATIENCE.

To end this special editorial, I share two of the quotes with you that appeared earlier today:
Former Assistant of the US Treasury, Dr. Paul Craig Roberts
"The exchange value of the dollar is threatened and if that collapses the Fed loses control over interest rates. Then the bond market blows up, the stock market blows up, and the banks that are too big to fail, fail. So it's an act of desperation because they've got to establish in people's minds that the dollar is the only safe place, it is the only safe haven, not gold, not silver, and not other currencies."
Jeffrey Nichols – NICHOLSonGOLD.com
“Gold prices were driven insanely lower today -- not by market fundamentals or the latest readings on the U.S. and global economy -- but by technical and computer-driven program trading mainly in futures, forward, and options markets.”
Who said markets are always rational? Indeed, the stars remain favorable for gold and rational analysis suggests that prices will go significantly higher over the next few years. I've written and talked at length about gold's very sane bullish fundamentals.

I have never been so eager to go to Zurich to attend the European Gold Forum and sense the atmosphere among the attendees about what happened to gold today. I already knew we would be facing exciting times but I could not possibly suspect that it would be exciting because of this reason……I will keep you informed about what I hear, see and feel. Keep the faith and stay awake.

Henk J. Krasenberg
              
                                                                                                                                                        
PS: Oh, and please have a look at what I found the same famous Friday
                                                                                       
IF THEY FIND OUT THE TRUTH AND WAKE UP, I’AM SCREWED!!!!
www.thebullionblog.com





Sunday, March 17, 2013

GOLD AFTER CYPRUS



THE BLOGS BELOW REPRESENT MY PERSONAL OPINION ONLY

YOU MAY AGREE OR DISAGREE

YOUR COMMENTS ARE ALWAYS WELCOME

blog 17 march 2013

GOLD AFTER CYPRUS

how easy it is for banks to intrude into your account

It is not final yet, but it is likely that Cyprus will consent to last Saturday’s plan of the EU and IMF to let the clients of the Cyprus banks’ clients contribute €6 billion to solving the new need of the government. In addition, Cyprus will then receive a €10 billion injection from the EU/IMF. The plan is to charge ALL accounts a 'one-time-fee' of 6.75% for deposits up to €100,000 and 9.9% for deposits exceeding that amount.

If Cyprus will go along, the ‘fee’ will be deducted from the accounts before the banks on the island will be opening up next Tuesday. It is as easy as that and I am pretty sure you would never suspect that the banks can so easily intrude the accounts of their clients. And what a weird sense of timing, to announce this on a Saturday of the weekend before a Monday that is a national holiday with the banks closed....

I would be curious to know about the legal grounds that allow the banks to take money out of the accounts. Is such a stipulation included in the ‘small-lettered’ rules and regulations?

I just hope whether this action will give some smart ideas to the other financially weak countries in the EU and more impacting, in the rest of the world. We all know that the banks are not only powerful, mostly back by their respective governments, and getting away with their doubtful products and actions. Like this legal theft, I cannot name it any different.

This weekend surprise came as a magician gets his rabbit out of his high hat and we can only wonder what comes next……

At this time, Sunday evening 23.30 European time, it is difficult to judge what impact this despicable action will have on the price of gold. But what it does anyway, is that it confirms the expectations I had and with me, many of my colleague gold watchers. This Cyprus case is another step into a world of financial stress –I don’t want to use the word chaos-   and uncertainty. Tomorrow, we will see how the bank clients in the rest of Europe will react, and naturally also the financial markets. As a believer in gold, I would be quite surprised if the gold price would not go up through the $1,600 level. Let’s see whether the Fed, possibly joined by the European banks, will be able to counter gold’s upward move.

I hope you and I can sleep tonight. Not that we have money in any Cyprus banks but the sound of the money printing machines that are working full-speed all over the world may keep us awake…… (hjk)